My senior and good intellectual friend Adhola, there is always more than meets the eye about President Yoweri Museveni’s  moves.

I have read the good attempt in search of the hidden meaning of President Museveni’s current move of allowing opposition to hold rallies across the country breaking his own 37 year political custom  and convention where such rallies would be met with state violence from security agencies.

I think the esteemed ecologist, Prof Oweyegha Afunaduula, made a good attempt. I have always believed that the best political scientists are biologists or ecologists because they deal with nature of organisms. Which is why I shared here yesterday Prof Latigo’s article on why we should learn from trees regarding succession.

While the most senior Prof Afunaduula is methodologically right: going for the hidden meaning, he missed a very obvious conclusion. We all know your former boss at your former station and current boss, Senior Mutengesa, is a political grandmaster.

Faced with a decline in global governance ratings because of a successful international campaign by the opposition facilitated by Robert Kyagulanyi’s appeal within the new age movement. He was definitely pondering a redemption masterstroke.

Museveni thrives on moral-cum-strategic ambiguity when it comes to global politics. Which is why he runs a hybrid governmental system.

Locally too his impatient beloved son  has been “marauding” the place with his to quote Liam Taylor “motley of wheeler dealers hanging on his coattails”  without articulating any serious alternative yet having the audacity to call his only legacy the NRM reactionary in “nonsense” tweets.

The president was certainly not sleeping, although acting normally: loving his son the same, only disarming him while coming close to him, and even making him the best man in his recent 50-year marriage. anniversary.

The old grandmaster last week then pulls a masterstroke using Bobi Wine as both his global and local pawn on the political chessboard by allowing him to make “forays” uninterrupted, although it won’t be long. In the meantime globally it helps him assuage the democratic appetite of the West. The footages of Bobi Wine supporters pinning his posters on the back of police officers as they watch helplessly works well in redeeming his “democratic” credentials and his image in the West. 

Locally, Bobi Wine is the best weapon he has against his impatient son Muhoozi. He wants his son who has grown horns to take note of the natural crowds Bobi Wine attracts, who he is very impatient to contend with and how unruly they can be. This is cause him to rethink his impatience. sinks the point to the nothingness of his own previous crowds.

Museveni always chooses his political opponents. This masterstroke is to freakout his son but also define 2026  contest as between him and Bobi Wine. These short-changes anybody else who may want to throw his hut in the ring: Muntu, Besigye, Mao, POA etc since the race and narrative already favours the two chosen competitors.

This is 2026 being defined and the two have bolted ahead of the rest and that is how 2026 pan out. This is my bird’s eye view. No one should think Museveni is not in charge. He very much in charge. In the security agencies there may be misgivings about Sevo, but no one can bell the cat, in any case they see it as counterproductive because in any case he is not going to be here for long, although they can  bell it on his son Muhoozi.

• A Tell report / Christopher Okidi reply to Prof Oweyegha Afunaduula critique of Uganda President Yoweri Museveni’s democratic credentials