Over time I have written a number or articles analysing and predicting the political trajectory of Uganda. My hope has been that one day, when I am no longer existent in the physical form, Ugandans will use my critical thoughts to make their own critical analyses towards putting sense where there has been nonsense in the leadership and governance in the complex continent of complex and wicked problems and beyond. Below are some of the articles:

In the article “Disappearance of police in Uganda Disappearance of Police in Uganda Police: The Consequences” (2022). I decried the increasing tendency to militarise and ethnicise the Uganda police and the dangers thereof.

In the article “The supremacy and sovereignty of Uganda’s military in past and present” (2021) I said:

During the reign of Idi Amin Dada, soldiers were everything and made sure everything was theirs if they wanted it. The civilians became subordinate to them. They became Ministers. They became Ambassadors. They became Governors. They became Subcounty Chiefs. They grabbed land. They grabbed factories. They grabbed houses if they wanted them, It was not sovereignty of Uganda and Ugandans but of soldiers.it was militarisation of everything conceivable. Civilian space diminished meteorically…… Even today it seems what was with soldiers during Amin’s time is during Museveni’s time. They have grabbed everything and want to grab everything. They have grabbed stock farms. They have grabbed forests. They have grabbed even parts of Lake Victoria. Fish in Lake Victoria have Become theirs. They are Ministers. They are Ambassadors, they are Resident District Resident Commissioners, they are even building schools and hospitals. They have been appointed to run agricultural institutions such as NAADS and Operation Wealth Operation. They are in Parliament. If things go on as they are, soldiers may be appointed judges. They are already trying and passing judgment on civilians in military tribunals even when they have committed political offences.”

In the article “Uganda: From Hereditary Chiefs and Kings to Hereditary Politicians (2022) I wrote that in hereditary politics “Everything becomes deception and deceptively done. Even if money is allocated to development in the national budget it ends up in the pockets of the members of the Deep State and little or nothing is recorded on the ground in form of meaningful and effective development, transformation and progress…. All this is happening when we have been made to believe that Uganda is a democratic country which changes leadership through elective politics. What it is achieving is erosion of the democratization process, quality of choice, equality of access to political office, and ethics and morality in the field of politics in Uganda. It does not further political development of Ugandans since it is a commitment to the power and influence of a few families. If we are to ensure democratic growth and democracy, we must discourage hereditary politicians and hereditary politics in Uganda”.

In the article “Governance by Deception with Special Reference to Uganda (December 2023) I extensively cite The Encyclopedia of World Problems and Human Potential to drive my point home that in Uganda deception is central to leadership and governance. The problem is exacerbated by the marriage between deception, militarism and the repetitive elections to sustain the lie that a democratisation process is on, depicted by the turnover of people in positions of leadership.

In the article “Uganda’s Politics of Intrigue in the Political Parties in the Century of Reintegration” I wrote: “Forget about the internally deceptively organized NRM birth of Muhoozi Kainerugaba ‘s Uganda Patriotic League (UPL). I call it deceptive because the NRM Supremo and Commander of Chief of Uganda Peoples Defence Forces (UPDF) has chosen conspiracy of silence regarding the political reality of UPL precipitated by a senior serving soldier of UPDF”.

In my book Political and Leadership History of Uganda: From British Colonial Era to Movement Era, which has been in the press since July 2023, I unequivocally state that the political trajectory of Uganda will be determined, not by the genuine citizens of Uganda but by three men: Lawyer Nobert Mao (no relation the Minister of Justice and Constitutional Affairs), General Muhoozi Kainerugaba (from last week the Chief of Defense Forces, CDF) and Tibuhaburwa Museveni (still the president of Uganda, 38 years since capturing the instruments of power through the barrel of the gun on January 25, 1986). The three, I wrote, will strategise together to de-enfranchise Ugandans, transfer the power of selecting a president of Uganda to parliament and ensure that the current president, retains power, not through the popular vote but through the members of parliament who to date profess NRM.

The President, who is the Supremo of NRM allowed his son to form a deceptively non-political party, the Patriotic League of Uganda (PLU) and to usurp a big number of members of NRM and Cabinet as its core pioneer membership. He also allowed him to move around the country criticising everything about NRM and the NRM government and promising to put right what has gone wrong during the reign of his father.

Apparently during his recent changes in the leadership of the army, President Museveni raised his son, who appeared defiant, to the top post of Chief of Defense Force (CDF), next in superiority to the Commander- in-Chief of the Uganda Peoples Defense Forces (UPDF), who is the president himself. Since the Uganda Constitution 1995, whose making he presided over, put all power and authority in his hands, he demoted General Wilson Mbadi, whom he had bequeathed the post of CDF to barely a few days earlier, in favour of his son.

The appointment of Muhoozi Kainerugaba to and demotion of General Wilson Mbadi from the post of CDF came barely a month after the president launched what was called UPDF Establishment Document 2021 in February 2023. The document laid out a strategic reconfiguration of the leadership of the army, which is now firmly in the hands of the president and his son. There is no doubt that the president and his son know that real power lies in the army, not votes of the hapless Ugandans. That is why like NRM before it, power was acquired by the gun. Elections are just a hoodwink whose result can be and have been manipulated in favour of the politico-military status quo.

 PLU is infested with refugees or former refugees in various capacities and stations in life, indicating a creeping total capture of Uganda’s political space. Political analysts have already formed a school of thought that the President has strategized to mutate NRM to PLU, which will eventually be registered as a political party. PLU, according to the school, will then proceed to field candidates in the coming general election and emerge as the main (deceptive) opposition in parliament, overtaking the combined but fractured opposition in Parliament.

This according to the school, will now be the disguised Opposition to NRM, yet a brainchild of NRM. The NRM proper and PLU will then be the ones to endorse President Tibuhaburwa Museveni for a seventh term as president of Uganda and Norbert Mao is successful with constitutional manipulation towards disenfranchising Ugandans. If things go according to plan, and if everything remains constant, the next president of Uganda after Tibuhaburwa Museveni will be the new Chief of Defense Forces. Already some of Muhoozi Kainerugaba’s devout political supporters and marketeers, such as Balaam Bagaruhare, who have also been devout supporters and musketeers of President Tibuhaburwa Museveni and NRM, were appointed by President Tibuhaburwa Museveni to his cabinet in the recent reshuffle simultaneously with the appointment of Muhoozi Kainerugaba as the CDF. We can only guess what the political future of the “Historicals” will be.

Are you still asking, “Which way Uganda? I believe the making of a real King of Uganda is taking place as most Ugandans don’t know what is going on and when those who should know are sleeping with naked eyes.

Listed below are just a few of the articles I have written and published for Ugandans to reflect on:

1. Perils of Presidentialism in Uganda (2022).
2. Uganda: from State to Deep State (2022).
3. Uganda’s refugee economy and its linkage to state interests (2022).
4. Is General Muhoozi Kainerugaba the leaders of the present generation as he claims? (2022).
5. Land grabbing in Uganda yesterday and today (2023).
6. Uganda’s sovereignty and the sovereignty of President Tibuhaburwa Museveni’s Family (2022).
7. Disappearance of police in Uganda Disappearance of Police in Uganda Police: The Consequences (2022).

• The supremacy and sovereignty of Uganda’s military in past and present (2021).
• The refugee dominance and consequences in Uganda (2022).
• Apartheid-like governance in Uganda (2022).
• Uganda: plagued by ethnicity, tribalism or both? (2022).
• Discontent, Insecurity and rebellion in Uganda then and now (2022).
• Political and politico-military corruption of the Parliament and Judiciary of Uganda (2022).
• How to de-NRAnize Uganda electoral processes (2023).
• The challenge of democracy and environmental democracy in the 21^st century: Uganda in Perspective (2023). 
• Imagining a Uganda future without President Tibuhaburwa Museveni (2023).
• Truth and voice: The power of voice. (2023).
• How ethnic nepotism has derailed Uganda from the democratization path. (2023).
• Uganda: politico-military or militia-political democracy or both? (2023).
• Can genuine involvement of Ugandans in governance and development occur under Musevenism? (2023).
• How ethnic nepotism has derailed Uganda from the democratization path (2023).
• The threat of political ethnicization in Uganda. (2023).
• Does Opposition have a future on the Political Landscape of Uganda? (2023).
• How Tutsi cultic hegemony crept into Uganda power echelons and built a crime empire via militarization (2023)
• Tyranny of a family: Ugandans belong to Uganda but politically live under the thumb of General Museveni (2023)
• Are Ugandans finally genuinely getting politically liberated by President Tibuhaburwa Museveni?

(2023)

• Is President Tibuhaburwa Museveni Metamorphosing from Nochangist to Changist (2023)
• General Muhoozi Kainerugaba, Uganda and the World: Which Way? (2023)
• How President Tibuhaburwa Museveni has been able to stay in power for so long in Uganda? November 2023
• The Threats of Centrally Mediated Nomadic Pastoralism in Uganda (2023)
• The refugee Malaise and the Futurity of Uganda December 2023.
• Political Uses of Religion: How Uganda’s Tibuhaburwa Museveni Uses Religion to Govern, January 2024.
• Governance by Deception with Special Reference to Uganda, December 2023.
• Uganda: From Hereditary Chiefs and Kings to Hereditary Politicians (2022).
• Uganda’s Politics of Intrigue in the Political Parties in the Century of Reintegration (21^st March 2024).

For God and My Country.

• A Tell report / By Prof Oweyegha-Afunaduula, a former professor in the Department of Environmental Sciences of the Makerere University, Uganda