England’s R rate has fallen significantly to 0.8 to 1.1, as data shows cases are falling across 87 per cent of the country. The current R number means that every 10 people infected with Covid will go on to infect 8 to 11 others.
Any rate above 1 means the outbreak is growing in the country and anything below 1 means the virus is in decline. Last week the number was 1.1 to 1.4, indicating a substantial drop in the rate of infection, according to the UK health security agency.
The estimated daily growth rate range is now -3 per cent to +1 per cent, compared to estimated growth of between +2 per cent to +5 per cent each day reported last week. Figures for the seven days to August 1 show that out of 315 local areas in England, 37 (12 per cent) have seen a week-on-week rise in rates, 275 (87 per cent) have seen a fall and three are unchanged.
Five areas with the biggest week-on-week rises (cases per 100,000): Lincoln (up from 357.5 to 756.3), Exeter (371.4 to 575.3), North Kesteven (233.5 to 437.1), Norwich (313.7 to 429.7), Breckland (147.9 to 252.2).
Lincoln continues to have the highest rate, with 751 new cases in the seven days to August 1 – the equivalent of 756.3 per 100,000 people. This is up from 357.5 in the seven days to July 25.
Exeter has the second highest rate, up from 371.4 to 575.3, with 756 new cases. Hull has the third highest rate, up from 490.0 to 543.5, with 1,412 new cases. Overall infections have fallen in all four home nations except for Northern Ireland, according to official estimates.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows around one in 75 people in English households had Covid-19 in the week to July 31 – down from 65 in the previous week.
- A Tell / Agencies report