Elizabeth Amina Kadenge is a 41-year-old farmer and mother of four in Kaloleni. At the time of the study, her maize harvest had been wiped out by drought. This year, it was wiped out again – by too much rain.
The East African nation's $3.6 billion programme with the IMF expired earlier this year, and some officials have expressed interest in getting a new one that will include a lending component.
In their paper, Rancourt and Hickey examined the counterfactual models and the claims those models made about deaths averted over time. They discovered that the models display large peaks in lives saved immediately after the vaccine and booster rollouts.
Elizabeth Amina Kadenge is a 41-year-old farmer and mother of four in Kaloleni. At the time of the study, her maize harvest had been wiped out by drought. This...